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The 97th Academy Awards: My Picks and Predictions

Happy Oscar Sunday! Tonight I’ll be celebrating the Academy Awards at the Academy Museum, where I watched the ceremony two years ago, so I’m excited to be back there for Hollywood’s biggest night. That, of course, brings me to my annual Oscar picks and predictions post, which I’ll be keeping brief this time around. So, as in years past, I’ll make predictions on which films will win the Academy Award in each category. And for the top eight categories (the four for acting, the two screenplay categories, Best Director, and, of course, Best Picture), I’ll be including which of the nominees I’d pick for my own ballot.

Best Picture

First, my personal ranking of the nominees, from best to worst:

  1. The Substance
  2. The Brutalist
  3. Nickel Boys
  4. Anora
  5. I’m Still Here
  6. Conclave
  7. Wicked
  8. A Complete Unknown
  9. Dune: Part Two
  10. Emilia Pérez

My Pick: The Substance
My Prediction: Anora


Best Director

Nominees (in alphabetical order by movie):

My Pick: Coralie Fargeat, The Substance
My Prediction: Sean Baker, Anora


Best Actor

Nominees (in alphabetical order by last name):

My Pick: Adrien Brody, The Brutalist
My Prediction: Adrien Brody, The Brutalist


Best Actress

Nominees (in alphabetical order by last name):

My Pick: Demi Moore, The Substance
My Prediction: Demi Moore, The Substance


Best Supporting Actor

Nominees (in alphabetical order by last name):

My Pick: Guy Pearce, The Brutalist
My Prediction: Kieran Culkin, A Real Pain


Best Supporting Actress

Nominees (in alphabetical order by last name):

My Pick: Isabella Rossellini, Conclave
My Prediction: Zoe Saldaña, Emilia Pérez


Best Original Screenplay

Nominees (in alphabetical order):

My Pick: A Real Pain
My Prediction: Anora


Best Adapted Screenplay

Nominees (in alphabetical order):

My Pick: Nickel Boys
My Prediction: Conclave


And now the rest of my predictions…

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